Defensores de Esquiú vs Comercio Central Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
33.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores de Esquiú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
POL
1 - 1
CDE
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
CDE
0 - 0
SAR
22%
22%
56%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
AND
2 - 1
CDE
76%
14%
9%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Comercio Central Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
CCU
1 - 0
UNI
36%
24%
40%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
CCU
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
INS
1 - 0
CCU
43%
23%
33%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
INS
1 - 3
CCU
49%
23%
28%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CCU
2 - 0
UNI
28%
24%
47%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |