Def. Belgrano vs Acassuso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
31.5%
Draw
0-0
14.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.5%
29.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
SAC
0 - 3
DEF
25%
28%
47%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
PLA
2 - 0
DEF
47%
29%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
DEF
0 - 1
EST
32%
29%
39%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
DEF
32%
30%
38%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 1
MOR
22%
30%
48%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Acassuso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
ACA
3 - 0
TAL
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 0
ACA
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
ACA
2 - 1
ATL
23%
28%
49%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
EST
1 - 1
ACA
59%
25%
17%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
ACA
4 - 1
SUA
40%
29%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |