Decic vs Petrovac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
3º
45
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
SUT
3 - 1
DEC
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
DEC
4 - 3
BUD
33%
27%
41%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
IKD
1 - 3
DEC
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
DEC
1 - 1
MOR
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
DEC
1 - 1
JEZ
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Petrovac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PET
2 - 3
JED
42%
26%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
BUD
4 - 4
PET
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
PET
0 - 3
FKA
46%
26%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
IKD
2 - 2
PET
43%
28%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
PET
1 - 1
SUT
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |