Decic vs Grbalj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
38.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
MLA
1 - 0
DEC
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
DEC
2 - 3
PET
33%
29%
38%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
MOG
5 - 1
DEC
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
DEC
0 - 2
PET
39%
29%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
GRB
0 - 2
DEC
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
GRB
1 - 0
BER
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
ZET
0 - 0
GRB
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
GRB
1 - 3
BUD
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
MLA
3 - 1
GRB
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
GRB
0 - 2
DEC
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |