De los altos vs Murciélagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De los altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CAC
1 - 1
ALT
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ALT
2 - 1
LOR
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
REY
2 - 1
ALT
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ALT
3 - 4
CUR
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
TEC
0 - 2
ALT
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
MUR
3 - 0
COR
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CIU
3 - 1
MUR
31%
26%
44%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
MUR
3 - 1
BLN
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 1
MUR
32%
26%
43%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CAC
2 - 1
MUR
27%
25%
48%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |