DC United vs Houston Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
DCU
1 - 1
CFS
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
GAL
2 - 2
DCU
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2008 |
DCU
2 - 4
MAR
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
COC
1 - 0
DCU
48%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2008 |
CAZ
2 - 0
DCU
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Houston Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
SJE
3 - 2
HOD
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
HOD
1 - 1
COC
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
ATL
3 - 0
HOD
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
HOD
1 - 1
ATL
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2008 |
HOD
1 - 0
FIR
69%
20%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |