Dartford vs Ebbsfleet United analysis

Dartford Ebbsfleet United
55 ELO 52
-3.6% Tilt 6%
5497º General ELO ranking 7343º
179º Country ELO ranking 292º
ELO win probability
38.6%
Dartford
25.7%
Draw
35.8%
Ebbsfleet United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
Dartford
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
35.8%
Win probability
Ebbsfleet United
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dartford
-4%
+2%
Ebbsfleet United

Points and table prediction

Dartford
Their league position
Ebbsfleet United
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
82
14º
100
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ebbsfleet United
100
103
100%
Dartford
82
85
100%
Chelmsford City
78
81
83%
Oxford City
79
79
83%
Worthing
76
76
100%
Braintree Town
73
74
70%
St. Albans City
72
73
70%
Havant & Waterlooville
70
70
37%
Tonbridge Angels
10º
67
70
0%
Eastbourne Borough
69
69
10º
60.5%
Farnborough
11º
66
67
11º
81.5%
Bath City
12º
65
65
12º
100%
Hemel Hempstead Town
13º
61
61
13º
53.5%
Chippenham Town
14º
59
60
14º
53.5%
Taunton Town
15º
58
58
15º
83%
Welling United
16º
56
57
16º
100%
Hampton & Richmond
17º
53
53
17º
76.5%
Slough Town
18º
50
51
18º
53.5%
Dulwich Hamlet FC
20º
48
49
19º
62.5%
Weymouth
21º
45
48
20º
55.5%
Dover Athletic
19º
48
48
21º
55.5%
Concord Rangers
22º
45
45
22º
72.5%
Cheshunt
23º
43
43
23º
79.5%
Hungerford Town
24º
40
40
24º
94.5%
Expected probabilities
Dartford
Ebbsfleet United
Promotion
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Dartford
Ebbsfleet United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dartford
Dartford
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Dec. 2022
EBB
Ebbsfleet United
1 - 4
Dartford
DAR
51%
24%
25%
52 55 3 0
14 Dec. 2022
HAV
Havant & Waterlooville
1 - 3
Dartford
DAR
48%
24%
29%
50 51 1 +2
10 Dec. 2022
DAR
Dartford
0 - 0
Bath City
BAT
63%
21%
16%
50 44 6 0
03 Dec. 2022
CHM
Chelmsford City
1 - 0
Dartford
DAR
35%
25%
40%
51 49 2 -1
26 Nov. 2022
DAR
Dartford
3 - 1
Concord Rangers
CON
72%
18%
10%
51 39 12 0

Matches

Ebbsfleet United
Ebbsfleet United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Dec. 2022
EBB
Ebbsfleet United
1 - 4
Dartford
DAR
51%
24%
25%
55 52 3 0
20 Dec. 2022
CHE
Cheshunt
1 - 0
Ebbsfleet United
EBB
12%
19%
70%
56 40 16 -1
13 Dec. 2022
EBB
Ebbsfleet United
0 - 2
Eastbourne Borough
EAS
66%
20%
13%
57 46 11 -1
06 Dec. 2022
WOR
Worthing
0 - 6
Ebbsfleet United
EBB
44%
24%
32%
56 54 2 +1
03 Dec. 2022
EBB
Ebbsfleet United
2 - 0
Slough Town
SLO
80%
14%
6%
55 38 17 +1