Darfo Boario vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
44.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darfo Boario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 0
DAR
58%
22%
21%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
DAR
2 - 4
PON
14%
21%
66%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SER
3 - 1
DAR
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
DAR
1 - 1
ACC
49%
25%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 0
DAR
25%
24%
51%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
PON
0 - 0
LEC
66%
20%
13%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LEC
2 - 0
CAR
34%
26%
41%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +3 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ACC
3 - 1
LEC
34%
27%
40%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
LEC
2 - 1
AUR
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ACM
0 - 2
LEC
35%
26%
39%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +2 |