Dandenong Thunder SC vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
64%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+144%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
9º
12º
10º
60
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 1
DAN
53%
21%
26%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
DAC
1 - 2
DAN
49%
21%
30%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
OAK
2 - 0
DAN
84%
11%
6%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ALM
2 - 3
DAN
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
DAN
0 - 2
HEU
28%
22%
51%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
OAK
0 - 0
SOU
48%
24%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 4
SOU
14%
19%
67%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 1
HEU
63%
21%
17%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
MNG
2 - 5
SOU
10%
16%
74%
|
45 | 11 | 34 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 0
HUM
80%
13%
7%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |