Cuiabá vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
14.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
TUP
1 - 3
CUI
34%
29%
37%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
CUI
2 - 1
BOT
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
CUI
3 - 0
VOL
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
LUV
1 - 3
CUI
57%
25%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
CUI
0 - 1
BRA
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
JEC
1 - 3
OPE
39%
29%
32%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 0
JEC
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
JEC
3 - 1
TOM
44%
30%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
YPI
2 - 0
JEC
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2018 |
JEC
1 - 0
VOL
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |