Cuarto Distrito vs Santomera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
35.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuarto Distrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CIE
3 - 1
CUA
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
CUA
0 - 1
BAL
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
PIN
4 - 0
CUA
70%
18%
13%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
5 - 0
CUA
61%
21%
18%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
CUA
0 - 1
LOR
15%
23%
63%
|
22 | 57 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Santomera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 2
CAR
27%
26%
48%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 0
SAN
80%
14%
6%
|
21 | 57 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 1
CCS
21%
24%
56%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CPE
2 - 0
SAN
47%
23%
30%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 0
CAL
55%
24%
21%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |