Cuarto Distrito vs Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
57.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuarto Distrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
PUT
3 - 2
CUA
70%
18%
12%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CUA
2 - 2
FOR
22%
23%
56%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
CUA
66%
20%
14%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CUA
2 - 4
CIE
13%
20%
67%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
BAL
8 - 0
CUA
58%
21%
22%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
PLU
0 - 1
CAR
28%
25%
48%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
LOR
2 - 2
PLU
82%
13%
5%
|
23 | 56 | 33 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
PLU
1 - 1
CCS
23%
24%
53%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CPE
2 - 2
PLU
48%
23%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
PLU
0 - 0
CAL
66%
19%
15%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |