Cuarto Distrito vs Costa Calida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
63%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuarto Distrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CPE
2 - 0
CUA
64%
20%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CUA
1 - 1
CAL
52%
23%
26%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
ABA
0 - 0
CUA
52%
23%
25%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
YEC
5 - 0
CUA
79%
14%
8%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
CUA
1 - 2
LUM
75%
16%
9%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Costa Calida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CCS
1 - 0
CAR
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
LOR
5 - 0
CCS
78%
15%
7%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
CCS
2 - 0
PIN
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
CPE
0 - 2
CCS
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
CCS
4 - 3
CAL
78%
14%
8%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |