CSW vs ARC Alphense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
44.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSW
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
CSW
1 - 1
DEM
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
EEM
2 - 2
CSW
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
CSW
3 - 5
VVZ
47%
22%
32%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SVL
1 - 2
CSW
42%
24%
35%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
CSW
0 - 0
ROD
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
ARC
4 - 1
DOV
23%
21%
56%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
TER
1 - 1
ARC
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ARC
1 - 1
SPO
38%
22%
40%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
HUI
8 - 0
ARC
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ARC
1 - 4
VOL
46%
22%
33%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |