CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
19.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1964 |
BOT
2 - 0
CSK
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
CSK
9 - 0
SPA
76%
14%
10%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
CSK
3 - 0
SPS
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
LSO
1 - 0
CSK
45%
26%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1964 |
MAR
0 - 0
CSK
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1964 |
CVA
2 - 1
SLI
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
BER
2 - 2
CVA
50%
22%
28%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
CVA
2 - 1
BVR
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
LPL
3 - 0
CVA
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1964 |
SSO
3 - 2
CVA
51%
22%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |