Independiente del Valle vs Guayaquil City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
IVT
1 - 1
LIG
47%
25%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
TEC
0 - 2
IVT
28%
26%
46%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
IVT
1 - 3
UCE
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 2
IVT
19%
26%
55%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CUE
0 - 1
IVT
30%
28%
43%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
RIV
2 - 3
TEC
37%
27%
37%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
RIV
3 - 4
BSC
19%
27%
53%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 1
CUE
31%
27%
41%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 2
IVT
19%
26%
55%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
AUC
1 - 0
RIV
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |