Independiente del Valle vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
IVT
7 - 0
MAC
50%
26%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LIG
2 - 1
IVT
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
IVT
2 - 0
NAC
47%
26%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
IVT
1 - 2
UCE
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
CUE
0 - 2
IVT
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
MUS
2 - 2
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
BSC
6 - 0
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 4
CAL
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
IVT
2 - 0
NAC
47%
26%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 0
MUS
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |