CSD Arzua vs At. Arnoia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSD Arzua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SOM
2 - 0
ARZ
51%
24%
26%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
EST
0 - 0
ARZ
52%
25%
23%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
ARZ
1 - 1
BAR
45%
25%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
OUR
0 - 2
ARZ
55%
24%
21%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ARZ
3 - 1
RIB
50%
25%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
At. Arnoia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ARN
1 - 1
SOM
20%
22%
58%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ALO
2 - 1
ARN
71%
19%
10%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 0
ARN
37%
25%
38%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
GRA
0 - 0
ARN
34%
24%
42%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ARN
1 - 0
PON
46%
22%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |