CSA vs Murici analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 2
CSA
28%
29%
43%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CSA
2 - 1
CRB
30%
26%
44%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
CSA
28%
29%
43%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CSA
1 - 0
ASA
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
COR
1 - 2
CSA
35%
28%
38%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 2
CSA
28%
29%
43%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 0
ASA
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
CRB
1 - 3
MUR
75%
17%
9%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 1
COR
43%
27%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
MUR
49%
25%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |