CSA vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 0
CSA
48%
27%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
FEI
1 - 3
CSA
53%
26%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
CSA
3 - 1
VIT
51%
25%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
CSA
0 - 0
ASA
26%
24%
50%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
ASA
2 - 0
CSA
74%
17%
10%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
ITA
2 - 1
FEI
26%
27%
47%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
ITA
2 - 2
VIT
32%
28%
41%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 1
ITA
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
CON
1 - 0
ITA
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
ITA
3 - 1
CON
39%
27%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |