CSA vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
CSA
0 - 3
AMF
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
ITU
0 - 0
CSA
41%
28%
32%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
CSA
8 - 0
MUR
87%
10%
3%
|
76 | 36 | 40 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 2
CSA
8%
20%
73%
|
76 | 36 | 40 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
CSA
0 - 1
CRB
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 0
AFC
91%
8%
2%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
NAU
0 - 1
BAH
25%
27%
48%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BAH
2 - 0
CRZ
58%
24%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SER
1 - 3
BAH
8%
19%
73%
|
79 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
BAH
3 - 0
VIT
89%
9%
2%
|
79 | 41 | 38 | 0 |