CSA vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
60.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
ASA
1 - 0
CSA
42%
28%
31%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SAL
0 - 0
CSA
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
CSA
1 - 0
COR
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CRB
1 - 0
CSA
60%
23%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CEO
0 - 2
CSA
18%
26%
56%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CEA
2 - 1
UNI
84%
13%
4%
|
73 | 42 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
CEA
1 - 1
ATP
38%
28%
33%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
CEA
3 - 3
IGU
85%
12%
4%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CEA
2 - 1
SAM
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
FER
0 - 3
CEA
14%
20%
66%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | +1 |