CSA vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
13.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
53.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
18%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2019 |
ATM
4 - 0
CSA
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2019 |
CSA
1 - 0
GOI
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
SCI
2 - 0
CSA
76%
17%
7%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2019 |
AVA
0 - 0
CSA
58%
25%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CSA
0 - 0
SAN
17%
24%
59%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
BOT
1 - 0
VAS
52%
26%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
BOT
4 - 0
AME
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 1
PAL
22%
27%
52%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2019 |
AME
0 - 1
BOT
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
GOI
1 - 0
BOT
29%
28%
43%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |