CSA vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1979 |
ITA
2 - 1
CSA
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
CSA
3 - 0
FOR
35%
29%
36%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
FER
1 - 1
CSA
44%
27%
30%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
CSA
1 - 0
CRB
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1979 |
CSA
2 - 1
ADL
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
FER
0 - 3
ABC
37%
29%
34%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
ABC
1 - 2
ASA
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
ADL
1 - 0
ABC
63%
19%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
ABC
1 - 1
ITA
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
ABC
1 - 0
ARN
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |