Sportivo Desamparados vs Juventud Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
34.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LCY
0 - 0
DES
47%
23%
29%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
DES
1 - 0
TRI
68%
19%
14%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
DES
1 - 0
ATL
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +3 |
| 14 Mar. 2016 |
SPE
2 - 0
DES
38%
24%
38%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 0
DES
58%
22%
21%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Juventud Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 0
ATL
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
LCY
1 - 0
JUV
34%
24%
42%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 0
SPE
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 1
JUV
19%
22%
58%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 0
DES
58%
22%
21%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |