Sportivo Desamparados vs Independiente Villa Obrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
10.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ATE
2 - 2
DES
18%
23%
59%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
DES
0 - 4
SPE
75%
17%
8%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 0
DES
15%
22%
63%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
DES
1 - 1
ACJ
82%
13%
5%
|
56 | 18 | 38 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
DES
0 - 1
JUV
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -3 |
Matches
Independiente Villa Obrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
IND
1 - 0
JUV
23%
24%
53%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
TRI
2 - 1
IND
30%
24%
46%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ACJ
0 - 1
IND
14%
20%
66%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
IND
3 - 1
ATE
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SPE
1 - 1
IND
44%
23%
33%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |