Defensores del Rosario vs Defensores de Formosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
23.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores del Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SOL
1 - 1
DDR
68%
18%
15%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DDF
0 - 0
DDR
47%
21%
31%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
DDR
1 - 1
SOL
29%
22%
49%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Defensores de Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
DDF
1 - 3
SOL
27%
22%
51%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DDF
0 - 0
DDR
47%
21%
31%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SOL
1 - 1
DDF
69%
17%
14%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +1 |