Cacahuatique vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
43.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+80%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cacahuatique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
ALI
4 - 0
CDC
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
CDC
1 - 2
ALI
9%
15%
76%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
CDC
1 - 1
FIR
21%
24%
55%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
FAS
1 - 2
CDC
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
CDD
1 - 2
CDC
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
MUN
0 - 0
ALI
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2025 |
ALI
2 - 0
FUE
62%
20%
18%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
FUE
0 - 1
ALI
11%
17%
72%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
ALI
4 - 0
CDC
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
CDC
1 - 2
ALI
9%
15%
76%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |