Crvena Zvezda MML vs BASK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
42.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda MML
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
TEL
3 - 0
CZM
81%
14%
6%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CZM
1 - 1
ZAR
23%
22%
56%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SOP
2 - 1
CZM
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CZM
1 - 1
GRA
16%
18%
66%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 0
CZM
78%
15%
7%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
BASK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
BAS
6 - 0
RAK
74%
16%
11%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
BRO
3 - 1
BAS
66%
20%
15%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 1
POL
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BAS
3 - 2
BSK
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
TEL
1 - 0
BAS
71%
19%
10%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |