Oaxaca vs Irapuato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
TIG
0 - 4
CAO
41%
24%
35%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
CAO
2 - 2
QRO
46%
25%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2005 |
QRO
1 - 0
CAO
49%
24%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
DUR
2 - 1
CAO
31%
25%
44%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
CAO
2 - 1
LOB
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
IRA
2 - 1
IND
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
IRA
3 - 2
VER
48%
25%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
PAC
1 - 1
IRA
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
CAZ
3 - 3
IRA
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
IRA
0 - 0
JAG
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |