Cruz Azul vs Veracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
45.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2008 |
ATL
3 - 2
CAZ
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
CAZ
4 - 0
JAG
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
MEX
1 - 0
CAZ
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
CAZ
1 - 0
LOB
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
CAZ
0 - 0
ORI
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
VER
1 - 0
ATL
81%
13%
6%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
JAG
0 - 2
VER
16%
24%
60%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
VER
2 - 1
MEX
76%
17%
8%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
VER
6 - 1
LOB
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
ORI
0 - 0
VER
28%
28%
44%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |