Cruz Azul vs Toluca Premier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SOL
2 - 1
CAZ
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CAZ
1 - 4
REB
65%
19%
16%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
MON
3 - 2
CAZ
48%
26%
27%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CAZ
3 - 0
TEP
74%
16%
10%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
AEM
0 - 0
CAZ
39%
27%
35%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
REB
1 - 3
TOL
48%
25%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 2
TEP
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
QUE
1 - 1
TOL
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 1
PAC
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
TEM
2 - 0
TOL
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |