Cruz Azul vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
MEX
0 - 2
CAZ
40%
26%
35%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
CAZ
0 - 1
PUE
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
ORI
3 - 2
CAZ
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
CAZ
2 - 1
SAG
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
CAZ
2 - 0
PUM
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
TIJ
1 - 2
PUM
52%
25%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
TAM
1 - 2
TIJ
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
TIJ
2 - 1
MON
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
LOB
3 - 1
TIJ
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
TIJ
0 - 2
IND
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |