Cruz Azul vs Tecos UAG II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
CAZ
1 - 4
CSL
64%
22%
15%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
LEO
1 - 2
CAZ
55%
23%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
CAZ
2 - 1
MON
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
LOB
2 - 4
CAZ
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
CAZ
1 - 0
IND
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tecos UAG II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
PUE
0 - 1
TEC
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2007 |
TEC
0 - 1
UAT
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2007 |
GUE
2 - 2
TEC
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2007 |
TEC
4 - 1
CSL
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2007 |
TEC
1 - 2
MON
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |