Cruz Azul vs Real Cuautitlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
IPC
1 - 1
CAZ
24%
26%
51%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CAZ
0 - 1
TUT
71%
18%
10%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
TIA
1 - 0
CAZ
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
ATC
3 - 2
CAZ
25%
28%
47%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CAZ
2 - 0
ACH
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Real Cuautitlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
RCU
0 - 0
ATC
34%
26%
40%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ACH
5 - 0
RCU
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -3 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
RCU
0 - 3
IAC
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
PDC
1 - 1
RCU
68%
19%
14%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
RCU
0 - 2
UAP
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -2 |