Cruz Azul vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2007 |
SAG
0 - 0
CAZ
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
CAZ
0 - 0
LOB
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
TAM
0 - 1
CAZ
44%
26%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
CAZ
1 - 0
MEX
55%
25%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
IND
0 - 0
CAZ
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
ORI
1 - 1
JAG
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
ORI
1 - 2
SAG
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
LOB
1 - 2
ORI
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
ORI
3 - 3
TAM
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
MEX
2 - 0
ORI
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -2 |