Cruz Azul vs Lobos BUAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
TAM
0 - 1
CAZ
44%
26%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
CAZ
1 - 0
MEX
55%
25%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
IND
0 - 0
CAZ
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
CAZ
0 - 0
PUM
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
UAT
2 - 0
CAZ
52%
24%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
LOB
1 - 2
ORI
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2007 |
SAG
1 - 1
LOB
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
LOB
1 - 0
JAG
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
LOB
4 - 3
TAM
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
MEX
0 - 2
LOB
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |