Crusaders vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
GLE
1 - 2
CRU
68%
20%
13%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
CRU
0 - 1
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
NEW
2 - 0
CRU
49%
26%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
CRU
1 - 1
CLI
61%
23%
17%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
CRU
2 - 2
BAL
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
LIS
2 - 1
BAL
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
LIS
1 - 0
GLE
30%
25%
46%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
POR
3 - 2
LIS
72%
17%
12%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
LIS
2 - 3
NEW
46%
24%
30%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
BAL
2 - 1
LIS
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |