Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CRU
1 - 2
BAL
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 0
CRU
21%
23%
56%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
RBK
7 - 2
CRU
66%
20%
15%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2013 |
CRU
1 - 2
RBK
26%
23%
51%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
LIN
1 - 2
CRU
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LIN
2 - 4
CLI
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
LIN
28%
25%
48%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
LIN
1 - 2
XAN
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
XAN
0 - 1
LIN
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2013 |
LIN
3 - 0
IFF
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |