Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
39.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
GLE
0 - 1
CRU
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2002 |
CRU
2 - 1
COL
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
CRU
7 - 2
OMA
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2001 |
CLI
1 - 1
CRU
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
CRU
1 - 2
POR
27%
24%
49%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
LIN
7 - 1
COL
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
CLI
1 - 2
LIN
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2001 |
LIN
1 - 1
POR
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2001 |
GLE
3 - 3
LIN
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
LIN
4 - 0
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |