Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
41.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
GLE
0 - 2
CRU
65%
22%
14%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
CRU
1 - 2
OMA
46%
26%
29%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2001 |
CRU
0 - 2
CLI
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
CRU
0 - 2
COL
34%
27%
40%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
GLE
1 - 0
CRU
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
LIN
3 - 1
COL
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
LIN
2 - 2
CLI
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
GLE
1 - 0
LIN
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
LIN
0 - 1
POR
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
ARD
2 - 4
LIN
31%
27%
43%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |