Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
GLE
3 - 0
CRU
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1998 |
CRU
0 - 1
COL
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
GLE
1 - 1
CRU
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
CRU
2 - 2
OMA
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1998 |
LIN
0 - 0
CRU
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
LIN
1 - 0
BAL
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1998 |
NEW
2 - 1
LIN
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1998 |
LIN
5 - 3
OMO
25%
26%
50%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1998 |
OMO
5 - 1
LIN
74%
16%
11%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
LIN
2 - 0
GLE
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |