Crusaders vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
COV
0 - 3
CRU
16%
18%
65%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2017 |
GLE
0 - 3
CRU
23%
26%
51%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
CRU
1 - 1
DUN
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
CRU
0 - 0
ARD
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
CRU
2 - 1
LIN
52%
23%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
GLE
1 - 1
DUN
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
GLE
3 - 0
ARD
78%
15%
8%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
GLE
3 - 1
CLI
69%
18%
13%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
GLE
2 - 0
CAR
82%
12%
5%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
COL
4 - 2
GLE
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |