Crusaders vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
CRU
2 - 1
BAL
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
CRU
1 - 3
CLI
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
COL
0 - 3
CRU
52%
24%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
CRU
1 - 2
LIS
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
DON
1 - 3
CRU
44%
26%
31%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
GLE
0 - 1
GLE
24%
24%
52%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
GLE
2 - 1
DUN
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
BAL
2 - 0
GLE
47%
26%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
GLE
3 - 1
DON
41%
27%
33%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
GLE
1 - 0
POR
23%
23%
54%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |