Crusaders vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
BAL
1 - 1
CRU
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
CRU
0 - 1
DUN
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
NEW
2 - 1
CRU
46%
27%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
CRU
1 - 2
POR
29%
25%
47%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
GLE
0 - 1
CRU
67%
21%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
GLE
2 - 2
LIS
38%
26%
35%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
GLE
0 - 2
NEW
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
INS
1 - 0
GLE
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
GLE
0 - 4
LAR
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
DUN
3 - 1
GLE
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |