Crusaders vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
LIS
0 - 1
CRU
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
CRU
2 - 2
GLE
47%
26%
28%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2000 |
POR
4 - 2
CRU
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2000 |
CRU
1 - 0
NEW
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1999 |
CLI
1 - 1
CRU
41%
28%
32%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
GLE
3 - 0
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
COL
2 - 0
GLE
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2000 |
BAL
2 - 0
GLE
40%
27%
34%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2000 |
GLE
3 - 3
GLE
52%
24%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1999 |
POR
2 - 0
GLE
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |