Crusaders vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
BAL
1 - 1
CRU
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1999 |
CRU
1 - 1
LIN
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
LIS
2 - 2
CRU
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
CRU
1 - 0
GLE
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
POR
2 - 1
CRU
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
GLE
2 - 0
LIS
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
CLI
1 - 2
GLE
39%
28%
34%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
GLE
2 - 1
NEW
52%
23%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
COL
1 - 1
GLE
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1999 |
POR
1 - 3
GLE
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |