Cruiz vs Grănicerul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.2%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.3%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
4.5%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
14º
14º
14º
14
4º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 49 |
2º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 48 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 48 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 46 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 45 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 45 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 41 |
8º
|
99% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 38 |
9º
|
99% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
0 | 1 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
CRU
4 - 2
ARO
87%
9%
4%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 1
CRU
11%
20%
69%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
FCO
1 - 2
CRU
42%
25%
34%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CRU
7 - 2
CFR
82%
12%
6%
|
48 | 21 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SIN
4 - 2
CRU
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Grănicerul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
3 - 6
FCO
21%
18%
61%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VCU
4 - 0
GRA
73%
15%
12%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
0 - 0
FCT
27%
21%
52%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
EFV
1 - 0
GRA
59%
19%
22%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
0 - 2
CFS
17%
17%
66%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |