Cruiz vs Tarigrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
14º
14º
14º
34
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 49 |
2º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 48 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 48 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 46 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 45 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 45 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 41 |
8º
|
99% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 38 |
9º
|
99% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
0 | 1 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
CRU
4 - 2
ARO
87%
9%
4%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 1
CRU
11%
20%
69%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
FCO
1 - 2
CRU
42%
25%
34%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CRU
7 - 2
CFR
82%
12%
6%
|
48 | 21 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SIN
4 - 2
CRU
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tarigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
FCT
1 - 6
FCO
38%
21%
41%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
VCU
0 - 1
FCT
56%
21%
24%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FCT
3 - 1
FCV
71%
16%
13%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FCT
3 - 1
EFV
64%
18%
18%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CFS
2 - 0
FCT
65%
18%
18%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |