Crewe Alexandra vs Tranmere Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
49.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
TRA
3 - 0
CRE
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CRE
1 - 1
GIL
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CUM
0 - 0
CRE
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CRE
1 - 2
MAN
25%
27%
48%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CRE
1 - 0
CRA
34%
25%
41%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Tranmere Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
TRA
3 - 0
CRE
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SUT
0 - 2
TRA
39%
29%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
TRA
3 - 5
LUS
69%
17%
14%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TRA
1 - 0
BAR
53%
26%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
WAL
0 - 1
TRA
27%
29%
45%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |